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Note that the videos showing air strikes were on HAMAS not Hezbollah. I needed something illustrative for the video and grabbed the wrong footage. My bad.
Israel has spent the past 10 months mapping out every inch of southern Lebanon finding every base, every tunnel, every supply depot.
Striking Hezbollah is a very low-risk proposition compared to striking targets in Gaza or Iran.
Every single Gaza strike brought the possibility of mass casualties, but in Gaza, this was a feature, not a bug for HAMAS. HAMAS needs civilian casualties because they cannot win a fight against Israel. The world must be so horrified that they end the conflict with a cease-fire and a cease-fire means a HAMAS win.
However, civilians in southern Lebanon can flee north, which is something that cannot be done by residents of Gaza. This makes Hezbollah a much more attractive target and reduces the amount of propaganda that can be released by Hezbollah.
Hezbollah is in a bad situation and they are starting to realize that Iran is not coming to help them.
Iran views its proxies the same way Bane viewed his henchmen in The Dark Knight Rises - useful, but ultimately expendable. They are speed bumps on the road to attacking Iran.
Iran’s goal here is to hold off any attack until the next presidential election when they will have some idea of what the next administration might be like.
The losers, as always are the civilians caught in the middle.
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