21 Comments
User's avatar
Krijn's avatar

Making yourself less capable, hoping that it will stop successive administrations from involving you in the next war is a pipe dream...

It is basically what the Dutch did before WWII: We had a modern and capable Army, Navy and Air Force in our East Indian colonies, but kept the Home forces unassuming so as not to antagonise the neighbours. Cue five years of occupation.

Isolationism doesn't work. (Neither did those forces in the East Indies, but that's not the point here :-D)

Eric Valk's avatar

Given the isolationism within the administration and of its key voters and the transactional approach of POTUS what could Taiwan offer to justify the US defending them from a Chinese invasion?

From your PLA video I note that China has both operational and political leaders within their armed forces, whereas the US seems to have only political operatives in their highest echelon, with limited operational experience (and the President may over rule or change any decision). This might not play well in a war with China.

A Guy who thinks occasionally's avatar

won't play well with any conflict!

RICHARD T NEWMAN's avatar

Army Officer from 1978 to 2003: I disagree that Clinton was the driving force of "Isolationism" in 1994, but there were strong such forces in Congress during George H.W. Bushes term along with the demands to cut the military after the fall of the Soviets and the Warsaw Pact. Hence, BRAC, Weapons Systems cuts, etc. But Clinton inherited the Somolia debacle (seeds for "Blackhawk Down" were well planted before he swore in). His Efforts with the Dayton Peace accord was a large dynamic change for the Army as well as demands to participate with other countries in peacekeeping activities in other countries.

The Isolationists are delussional: We are the premier military and force to affect peace. As the saying goes, If you think Peace is expensive, try war. We are in great shape to help end Russian Expansion in Ukraine and send Putin back to the original borders without fighting if TACO had better advisors.

Gabriel (he)'s avatar

Ryan: Question: Why did Israel blow up Evin Prison in Tehran? It's not of any military importance. My own suggestion is this: The original sorties by Israel a few weeks ago could not have been done without a LOT of help from inside Iran, both intel (where are generals?) and actual sweat (bringing in and placing drones, activating them). So perhaps the Iranian opposition asked for a return favor, Take out the place where they torture us. Your ideas?

Ryan McBeth's avatar

Honestly I'm not sure. The only thing I can think of is some kind of wishful thinking prison break.

Shawnerz's avatar

The tail numbers of the AWACS might be 30 years old. But don't forget that every few years, the aircraft go through a year to year-and-a-half depot maintenance procedure. They're tore down, inspected, parts and metal replaced, re-skinned, flight and mission software and hardware replaced/updated, checked out, and returned back to the Air Force.

Project Liberty, the A-10, the C-17 (or was it C-130J?) are other examples where the Air Force said, "No, we're good." but Congress said, "But wait! Here's more!"

AASS's avatar

Another great video!

Nicholas Nelsen's avatar

Congress thinks long term? When did this happen? They can’t think longer than the next election.

Bonney's avatar

Thank you as always for the educational videos Ryan! The China one was also so absorbing. I hear cicadas! We have started to hear the first songs of the cicadas in Jpn too.

Madoc Pope's avatar

"Isolationist?" No, that's not the case and it doesn't match up with everything else the US is currently doing. If Isolationism was the goal of the Trump administration then it wouldn't be engaging in all these trade negotiations across the globe. It's not that the US is "pulling up the drawbridges to ignore the rest of the world" so much as it's we're becoming more selective in how we deal with the world.

This, especially as the world has changed so much.

The Cold War is dying its last breath with the Ukraine and Russian war. The old alliances and global power dynamics formed during the Cold War are no longer as applicable - if they're applicable at all. So, it makes sense then that the US would seek to change in response to all that. Among those changes are what we expect of our military.

Complicating things there are the changes in technology. "Drones" are still being assessed as to how best to met their threat and incorporate their use. So too is the increased prevalence of satellites. Thanks to Space X, for example, we're seeing how massive swarms of small and cheap satellites can take the place of the previous handfuls of larger and more expensive ones.

This, in particular, could be what takes place of AWACS in the future. Previously, there might not have been a satellite in the right orbit to provide such AWACS coverage to a given area and hence the need for an aircraft which could be rapidly dispatched to do so. Now, with a continual swarm of satellites overhead such coverage could be universal and, thanks to their numbers, far more resilient to any individual loss.

Hence the "indecision" at the Pentagon for which way to go. The new tech is gonna change things massively but it's not quite here yet. So, stick with the old until that new stuff has arrived or jump the gun? Lotsa bucks on the table here either way.

Jeff Zekas's avatar

Whatever happened to the idea of using blimps for observation and reconnaissance, especially on the southern border? Yes blimps are vulnerable, but they can hover over an area indefinitely.

A Guy who thinks occasionally's avatar

this video is not about border survellience, it's about wars

Jeff Zekas's avatar

Yes, I understand that, but some technologies crossover between war and Borders and general security. During World War II blimps were used to protect the fleets. After the war blimps were used for observation, before being retired. Not all old school technology is bad.

A Guy who thinks occasionally's avatar

agreed with the idea, but your ideology is clearly tainted...

Jeff Zekas's avatar

Also, I would say 20 million people invading America across the southern border is definitely an act of war.

A Guy who thinks occasionally's avatar

Nope. The ladies who cleaned my hotel room during vaction this summer. Not combatants. The immigrant kids who attend my high school? Not combatants. Are there bad actors crossing the border? Of course. It was unacceptable under Biden, and remains unacceptable. Of course, we have bad actors home grown (Ted Bundy, Jeffrey Dahmer, DJT, and other felons in the White House right now. So bad actors are not just coming from outside:)

Jeff Zekas's avatar

According to the FBI 560,000 illegals are actual criminals, released from prison in Mexico and Central America. As for the lady cleaning your hotel room, she will have five children, and they will all go on welfare, but they will keep speaking Spanish and sending money home to Mexico, because they consider themselves Mexicans not Americans. This is spoken from actual experience, having lived in California most of my life where there are huge areas when no one speaks English. It’s not just terrorism or crime, it’s the cultural change when people invade your country, and don’t use your language and don’t abide by your customs. Back when I was a prison guard, we had 1000 inmates just on one yard were illegal criminals. In other words one fourth of the inmates in the state prison were criminal illegal aliens. Even the so-called peaceful illegals use up resources, because they get free education, free, medical, free, housing, free food. How do I know this? My daughter was married to an illegal, and the whole family was on welfare. All you need is one anchor baby and everyone in the family gets to stay free of charge in America. And the fact is, when the 20 million illegals that have snuck in over the last 10 years gain amnesty, they will vote democrat, which means America will be a Democrat run country for the next 40 years. We saw this happen in California when Reagan gave amnesty to all the illegals. California used to be a Republican state. But amnesty flipped the state to a left-wing crazy playground. Again, this is just for my personal experience living in the world for the last 70 years.

A Guy who thinks occasionally's avatar

And yet the vast majority of welfare goes to overweight, southern caucasins. Facts .. yours and this one. So it’s not just the illegals causing problems.

Jeff Zekas's avatar

You give up your bias by saying overweight, and the reason the majority people on welfare are white is because the majority of people are white. Facts not fiction.