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Liam Kelley's avatar

Thankfully Mexico is becoming the new China when it comes to manufacturing. And like Russia learned the hard way, nobody wants to invest in a foreign nation that's constantly trying to invade her neighbors. Mexico is chill, the increase in job opportunities massively helps people reduce dependence on Cartels and such, and if you're against immigration then they won't feel the need as much to come to the US to earn an actual living. Everybody wins!

And no, manufacturing will never come back to the US for as long as we continue ignoring people like Dr. W. Edwards Deming. Are quality is too awful, and our inefficiency makes it too expensive. It was a choice between expensive American junk or cheap Chinese junk, and we made the obvious choice. I'm an industrial quality analyst, I see this stuff first-hand. Manufacturing will come back, but only after our hearts change.

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Donald W A Stewart's avatar

I’ve been surprised how few of the climate change zealots have entered Russia to stop putins’ war. They seem to be lying across all the wrong roads.

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Daniel Kunkle's avatar

Russia hasn't even completed its objectives in Ukraine (yet) so how in the HELL are they going to initiate a war against NATO at the same time?

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Donald W A Stewart's avatar

Russia’s gdp is now smaller than Australia’s and Italy’s, wanting and doing are drifting far apart. China doesn’t need to take Taiwan, they can take all those ethnically Chinese enclaves in Russia and their titanium gold Lithium iron ore coke and thermal coal oil and gas. A land mass the size of australia and it will solve their fresh water problems at the same time. And Russia can send their T34’s to defend them.

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Daniel Kunkle's avatar

Yeah, I saw something about Russia's primary state owned oil and gas company losing tens of billions of dollars last year. What oil they have been selling to India and China has been at a loss or at least not enough to cover the bills it would seem. That might be sanctions taking effect too. But yeah, the Russian GDP is ridiculously small and their armaments sales are tanking (no pun intended) as well since most of their production is being used domestically for their war in Ukraine instead of being sold to foreign buyers. I don't think they're even the second or third largest arms dealer now. China and France IIRC are in those spots.

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Arakuda's avatar

Switzerland is not in Nato though 👀

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Jack Smith's avatar

The Biden administration hasn't ever issued a statement of what they consider an end of war except Russian retreat from Crimea and regime change. The Russian's can't survive if they lose Crimea, if the US deploys troops in Ukraine or becomes a subject state with a US-appointed President.

This means that the war in Ukraine will continue forever or until Russia collapses.

A conventional war between Russia and the US is one-sided. The combined US + Europe population is 1 billion people compared to Russia's 144 million. The US has used the Ukraine war to severely degrade the Russian defenses, including the elimination of Russian AWACs, the recent Portugese attack on the Voronezh-DM OTH Early Warning Missile Launch Warning Radar and yesterday's destruction of a Russia command post near Belgograd. US strategy (at least since WWII) as been to destroy an enemies civilian infrastructure while keeping CONUS safe, so in a conventional war, Russia will eventually lose.

The US is also preparing for nuclear attack, including the Dutch certification for using F-35s to deliver B61s, the French Rafales practicing launching ASMPA-R cruise missiles and the production of B21s (at low- rate initial production).

Since most of Russia's population is concentrated around Moscow, Russia is effectively one nuke from destruction.

It therefore seems inevitable that nuclear war will happen. One possible scenario was recently floated by Putin: a single nuclear weapon on a small European country (my guess Portugal) followed either by American negotiations with Russia or launch of all Russia's nukes on the US and Europe.

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Craig Goldfarb's avatar

Since the fall of the Soviet Union we found out that Russia is a bit of a paper tiger. As you can see they are struggling against Ukraine. It's pretty well exhausted there modern weapons reducing them to a mostly artillery war. If they moved against NATO they would not be able to control the air. NATO surely would, which means they would not be able to move ground troops. China does not have the Navy yet. I think Ukraine has made everyone rethink their strategy. For now both of them are doing the best to destabilize us through other means. This is why the university campus unrest, the election interference, and things like Tik Tok have become such big issues. Thanks Ryan

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