Thank you Ryan. Maybe one day your reach will rival Al Jazeera's. It certainly should. You're more fair! And you know a whole lot about how this stuff goes down.,
Al Jazeera is much like Fox News... Take anything they say with a salt shaker and anything they show you with a grain or 10 of salt... If they didn't blame Israel, their follower numbers would drop like a rock... They have honest journalist just like Fox News does, but I always take things with a grain of salt when watching something from either one of them...
Ryan, thank you for pointing information that is usually not disclosed by the media. Its great to be get a proffesional to explain to us laypeople thanks again!
In this case I think you are giving both the IDF and military contractors too much credit. We already know that the IDF has been extremely sloppy during this campaign (use of very large unguided munitions, raiding hospitals, poor treatment of prisoners). We also know that contracts make extremely dumb mistakes with regard to secure communications: https://www.wired.com/2012/10/hack-proof-drone/
As you note, we don't know the ordinance used. Does that look like two 9kg hellfire explosions? Angle of attack looks more like mortars although it's very difficult to see. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iron_Sting
I highly doubt that anyone would call the PM for authorization to fire a mortar.
I would say it's easily as likely that some warm rock sitting in a mortar equipped APC got a call from his warm rock buddy and well, you know how bored soldiers get.
The journalists (who were also affiliated with Islamic Jihad) were flying a drone in a war zone where drones are used as weapons, obviously they were going to be attacked. If you don't believe me you can try it yourself by traveling to Ukraine and operating a drone on the front and see how fast you will be struck by one of the sides.
As for the hospitals you know very well they were not attacked for being hospitals but for serving as bases, and even then not with bombs but with foot soldiers in order not to harm the patients, staff and infrastructure.
There was a days long firefight involving the Al Shifa hospital. How can there be a fire fight if there were no Hamas fighters in the hospital? Over 150 Hamas fighters were killed and even more captured. But yes, Hamas does not use hospitals as bases.
Interesting how this detailed response follows pretty much exactly the normal pattern for Hamas apologists online. Your points all depend heavily on the assumption that Israel is both incompetent and evil-minded, neither of which are actually based in facts that don't flow from terrorist sympathetic sources.
I think it's worth being precisce here. They may or may not be civilians. What you plausibly argue is that it's unlikely that they aren't a valuable target for Israel.
That may mean they are military leaders (or one of them is) but they may be civilian Hamas leadership, intelligence assets or whatever. Morally speaking that's probably justified by we might as well be precise here.
Thank you for another fact-based review of dubious claims. The strike reminded me of one of the most deserved uses of the Hellfire missile ... the one that dealt with Jihadi John ... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jihadi_John#Death
Your military perspective is so spot-on. I'm beginning to understand your frustration with the MSM having so few military advisors on staff to provide perspective.
What percentage of males of fighting age in Gaza are non combatants? I would say roughly zero to 5% (physically unable). These guys looked fit. This is my probabilistic view. Good strike.
It's weird how people assume that militaries anywhere have the resources to waste on non-military or casual targets just because. Every munition has a not just a money cost but an opportunity cost, because that munition of whatever type may be needed elsewhere for a more productive purpose. And despite appearances, the supply of any munition is not unlimited or unrestricted. Mistakes happen, but in general the more expensive and useful a munition is, the more carefully it will be employed.
$5 a month is a bargain at twice the price.
Thank you Ryan. Maybe one day your reach will rival Al Jazeera's. It certainly should. You're more fair! And you know a whole lot about how this stuff goes down.,
Al Jazeera is much like Fox News... Take anything they say with a salt shaker and anything they show you with a grain or 10 of salt... If they didn't blame Israel, their follower numbers would drop like a rock... They have honest journalist just like Fox News does, but I always take things with a grain of salt when watching something from either one of them...
Sherif Daggot: you just shot an unarmed man!
Bill Munny: Well, I guess he should've armed himself.
Best comment.
Ryan, thank you for pointing information that is usually not disclosed by the media. Its great to be get a proffesional to explain to us laypeople thanks again!
Hi Ryan, I recently found your channel on YT and immediately came over here and joined. I really like the amount of detail and expertise you provide.
In this case I think you are giving both the IDF and military contractors too much credit. We already know that the IDF has been extremely sloppy during this campaign (use of very large unguided munitions, raiding hospitals, poor treatment of prisoners). We also know that contracts make extremely dumb mistakes with regard to secure communications: https://www.wired.com/2012/10/hack-proof-drone/
On the first point, targeting is often only as good as the person on the ground calling in the strike, and if that person is incompetent or malicious, it's very possible they screwed up. This case in the WaPo from a few days ago is pretty damning https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/03/19/gaza-journalists-killed-israel-al-jazeera-footage/
As you note, we don't know the ordinance used. Does that look like two 9kg hellfire explosions? Angle of attack looks more like mortars although it's very difficult to see. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iron_Sting
I highly doubt that anyone would call the PM for authorization to fire a mortar.
I would say it's easily as likely that some warm rock sitting in a mortar equipped APC got a call from his warm rock buddy and well, you know how bored soldiers get.
The journalists (who were also affiliated with Islamic Jihad) were flying a drone in a war zone where drones are used as weapons, obviously they were going to be attacked. If you don't believe me you can try it yourself by traveling to Ukraine and operating a drone on the front and see how fast you will be struck by one of the sides.
As for the hospitals you know very well they were not attacked for being hospitals but for serving as bases, and even then not with bombs but with foot soldiers in order not to harm the patients, staff and infrastructure.
Last I heard the "hospitals as bases" claim wasn't conclusive, and lacks supporting evidence. Do you have some?
Is that a joke? https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/02/12/world/middleeast/gaza-tunnel-israel-hamas.html#
https://apnews.com/article/israel-hamas-war-news-03-24-2024-24019f74683075740bf4dd8f7a42dfd8
There was a days long firefight involving the Al Shifa hospital. How can there be a fire fight if there were no Hamas fighters in the hospital? Over 150 Hamas fighters were killed and even more captured. But yes, Hamas does not use hospitals as bases.
Your propaganda screed is not a comment, it's an official Hamas editorial.
Interesting how this detailed response follows pretty much exactly the normal pattern for Hamas apologists online. Your points all depend heavily on the assumption that Israel is both incompetent and evil-minded, neither of which are actually based in facts that don't flow from terrorist sympathetic sources.
What’s damning about striking a car full of people who are using a drone in a war zone?
Ryan, hi. Great content with appropriate tone. Keep up the good work.
I think it's worth being precisce here. They may or may not be civilians. What you plausibly argue is that it's unlikely that they aren't a valuable target for Israel.
That may mean they are military leaders (or one of them is) but they may be civilian Hamas leadership, intelligence assets or whatever. Morally speaking that's probably justified by we might as well be precise here.
Have some issues with your analysis. Not saying your conclusion is wrong. But I do feel that some of your statements need further assessment.
1). Was that actually a hellfire missile? I would expect a bigger explosion, unless it was altered to not have an explosion.
2). $150k is a drop in the bucket when you get around 3billion a year from the US. 14B+ proposed for this year alone.
I think you are right when you say, just because they look unarmed, it doesn’t mean they are not high value targets.
I only bring these 2 items up, because as we know people will point out any errors to discredit an entire thesis, even if the conclusion is right.
As always, thank you for doing a lot of the leg work.
I can think of two pieces of ordinance – Hellfire or SPICE
I was thinking spice as well.
Thank you for another fact-based review of dubious claims. The strike reminded me of one of the most deserved uses of the Hellfire missile ... the one that dealt with Jihadi John ... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jihadi_John#Death
That was USD 150k well spent!
Your military perspective is so spot-on. I'm beginning to understand your frustration with the MSM having so few military advisors on staff to provide perspective.
What percentage of males of fighting age in Gaza are non combatants? I would say roughly zero to 5% (physically unable). These guys looked fit. This is my probabilistic view. Good strike.
It's weird how people assume that militaries anywhere have the resources to waste on non-military or casual targets just because. Every munition has a not just a money cost but an opportunity cost, because that munition of whatever type may be needed elsewhere for a more productive purpose. And despite appearances, the supply of any munition is not unlimited or unrestricted. Mistakes happen, but in general the more expensive and useful a munition is, the more carefully it will be employed.
Your assessments are always very educational. Great job!!!
Nice breakdown. Got my $5 worth on this piece alone. Keep up the fires