37 Comments

Ryan, this sort of analysis is why I subscribe to your substack. Well done!

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Ryan: This is top flight work on the Konstantinovka missile strike video and the DIP that followed. You may wish to reference this NASA web page concerning ground effects of sonic booms, the likely source of the noises a few frames before the explosion. Of note: local atmospheric conditions including wind speed can affect the arrival and effect of a sonic boom.

https://www.nasa.gov/centers/armstrong/news/FactSheets/FS-016-DFRC.html

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Worth noting when I was in Ukraine, the Russians had started to use modified S-300 missiles for ground to ground targets and they REGULARLY missed their designated targets or would just hit random civilian homes around us. S-300, X-22's, and Kalibr missiles are the most common being used right now by Russia to attack civilians.

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Off topic here. Missile fragment, I have a fin from a HARM missile. I’m a militaria hoarder but gotta clear it out. Anyone think a museum would want it? I’m thinking only another hoarder? Ryan want to auction it for Ukraine benefit?

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"According to Mykola Riabchuk, Ukrainian journalist and political analyst, the Russian propaganda evolved into a full-fledged information war during the Russo-Ukrainian War. Riabchuk writes: "Three major narratives emerged that can be summed up as 'Ukraine's borders are artificial', 'Ukraine's society is deeply divided', and 'Ukrainian institutions are irreparably dysfunctional'," thus needing "external, apparently Russian, guardianship." " https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Propaganda_in_Russia#:~:text=The%20propaganda%20of%20the%20Russian,Russian%20'political%20warfare'%22.

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My assessment of the initial boom is the missile breaking the sound barrier as it was incoming...

To be fair I don't even know if those can do that or would make that sound if they did, this is just what I think it was...

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I kept waiting for the post credits scene with the blank footage like a dummy. There may be some missing frames or videos at the end sarnt. Thanks for the heads up on this and love the work as always!

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Ron

In Australia the news flat out said this was a Russian attack and on a nonmilitary target ie war crime.

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Thanks for the video, Ryan! As one of the commenters said - you are referring to a frame after the explosion which seems to be buckling of the cars tops from pressure wave. While some artifacts are present on two frames before the explosion on gray car and then on black car (the one in front of cargo vehicle). At least, in the video from Zelenskyy telegram. Could be anything, even birds flying.

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So what was the first clap? I don't think these missiles fly at supersonic speed so it wasn't a sonic boom... unless I'm wrong

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Unfortunately you have looked on the frame @00:03.917, this is AFTER the explosion, but reflection is on the timestamp 00:03.720 of the video (5 frames earlier) published on Zelensky channel.

Reflection theory is still BS tho, I filmed a video (https://twitter.com/drug123/status/1699527335685259668?s=20) showing why and it is clear that up-down movement would reflect like this despite direction of the missile, being that flying from the camera or towards it.

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You are speaking about the shockwave effects after the explosion. You are missing what people are actually talking about. There are 2 frames here that are not showing on your video. https://imgur.com/a/tkzjwRD

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I can personally attest to sound and echoes being rather wonky. I work on an aircraft ramp that is surrounded on three sides by hangers. Depending on where I'm standing on the ramp, the incoming jets sound like they're coming from any direction, despite the fact they exclusively come from the right (looking at the runway).

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Thank you for the coverage. This is the reason I subscribe. The glare is probably a pressure wave as you say. Might it be debris from the explosion, thrown up instantly? Smoke is seen billowing reflected in the roof so it's pretty clear where the shadow would have come from this split second before.

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Another great video Ryan. Absolutely soul shaking to see the explosion. War is a biotch. I hope we find out with definitive corroboration what the artifact on the roof of the car is. I'll keep checking back on this thread.

To the other folks screening the versions and peripheral info leads, I find it fascinating and heart lifting that y'all are cooperating and keeping open minds. The way things are sounded out and critiqued is admirable.

This thread gave me a new insight as to how those of us on this side of the war can contribute to finding and presenting the truth for the record. This war is my first time being exposed to real time behind the scenes intel.

I'm not sure how warped previous conflicts have been but seeing it here is a real eye opener. I believe having groups like this is a noble cause. Maybe something comes of the work, maybe not. The fact that people are out there conducting the litmus tests on it all is very reassuring.

Thank you all for your pursuit of truth and use of integrity. Keep up the great work.

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Yeah I’m vaxx injured bad so unhoarding or this stuff will all be in the dump if I die. I can’t judge the value of my HARM missile fin but I think low as few people are as silly about this stuff as I am. Too bad it wasn’t a fin pulled out of a busted Russian S-400! The reason it’s solid stainless is for resistance to friction heating and aero forces at high speed and G. The HARM is an old but awesome machine! It might have too low a value to, for example, send to Ukraine Air Force for them to put a unit badge on it and charity auction but what do you think?

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