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The Most Likely Israel Regional War Scenario

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The Most Likely Israel Regional War Scenario

If regional war will look more like Star Trek than Saving Private Ryan

Ryan McBeth
Nov 1, 2023
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The Most Likely Israel Regional War Scenario

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I don't envision the conflict in Israel leading to a regional war, because the amount troops necessary to defeat Israel would rival that of American forces during World War II. However, it is possible that Israel and Iran could get into a decades-long missile throwing contest of which there will ultimately be no winner.

The Star Trek episode referenced in the video was Season 1 Episode 23, “A Taste for Armageddon.”

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The Most Likely Israel Regional War Scenario

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The Most Likely Israel Regional War Scenario

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Matthew Evans
Writes Matthew’s Substack
Nov 1

Great thoughts, Ryan. I agree that a true ground war won't break out. What is going to happen is Israel will kill another 5000 or so Palestinians and then withdraw, and things will go back to the way they were - Hamas lobbing rockets every couple of days with Israel shooting most down. The world will forget again, probably because a Kardashian is dating someone new.

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Peter Gerdes
Writes Peter’s Substack
Nov 2·edited Nov 2

Also, I think it's dead wrong to say it's about the democrats needing the votes of coastal elites not affected by immigration. The polls and politics are quite clear that border security is a vote winning issue -- even for democrats. The issue is what the left (and all the interns, PAs, campaign staff etc) believes about immigration not what gets it votes.

Unfortunately, we end up with the worst of all worlds. A world where the non-crazy left manages immigration is one where asylum seekers arrive at airports and ports not the border and we substantially open up the avenues for legal immigration and allow these people to spread out across the country, pay taxes and integrate into the economy. A world where Republicans or right leaning Dems impose a truly effective deportation and e-verify system is one where far fewer migrants show up at our borders.

Instead, we get a world where we keep millions of people in a kind of legal limbo where they can't put down roots, they burden border states and live in constant fear. But like all tough issues, no one wants to unilaterally concede and give the other side the win.

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