Oh man! I'm a paid member and have been following you for quite a while, but you usually get your facts right and you missed it this time! You said you wanted a beer, and ordered Bud Lite. Do you REALLY think Bud Lite is beer??? Next time you're in the Tel Aviv area, look me up and I'll introduce you to some Israeli (and European) craft beers that will ruin Bud for you forever.
Some of us crave a “beer-like” experience w/ out the calories/carbs/higher alcohol content - a key aspect of your comment is that you’ve seemingly not learned an important “adulting lesson”, that being WALDT (we all like different things)… just saying 😆
I think there should be a "tongue in cheek" emoji. Of all the things Ryan talks about, some of them quite close to my heart, his choice of beer is quite likely not what I would think most important to comment on. His actual understanding of what's going on in Gaza, for example, is much appreciated.
In the absence of an emoji, consider this notification of tongue-in-cheekness. However the offer to buy Ryan a beer is for real.
While I agree with you that we fight wars different, I think it's also wise to train to fight in contested airspace. The assumption of air superiority was always a smart one to make in the past but against the PLA? I'm not so sure.
Obviously I'm sure we'd gain air superiority eventually, but everywhere right from the get go? That's not as smart an assumption to make.
Plus, I think the added capability these drones offer and the speed with which they can provide those capabilities is not something that can be matched with traditional isr platforms.
I know you served in Iraq, but when I was in Afghanistan I would have given anything for some nerd with an fpv drone rig and a roof full of them.
Even when we had predators overhead there was a significant lag between what the operator (often in Langley) saw and reported and what we heard. Minutes sometimes. You know as well as I do that information is cold as a dead horse a couple minutes after the fact during a gunfight.
G'day Ryan, would love your take on drones in other theatres of operations outside what we are seeing in Ukraine? Like in more closed environments of the jungles of areas like South East Asia, urban environments and against a more mobile adversaries that use a less conventional tactics of hit run gorilla warfare type fighting along with an that's highly dispersed and lacks the concentration of forces that you see in Ukraine.
My take is that they'd be less effective especially in jungle environments due to the nature of the environment and in regards to gorilla warfare tactics because you're on the move constantly they can't get a good fix to be able to hit you and eliminate you as an opponent.
Ryan, one of the premises that you based this video on was Ukraine has to use drones because of a lack of artillery ammunition. This can be easily tested by this question; does russia, who has an abundance of artillery ammunition and artillery overmatch also use drones? Or do they feel the urge to use them as much since going by the premise they shouldn't have to due to them not having artillery shortages like Ukraine
The answer is a resounding yes, they use them just as much and are always in a competitive arms race with Ukraine as to develop new drones and TTPs. So the idea that FPVs and drones are just for armies lacking artillery or firepower is bullshit.
This hand waving away of anything to learn seriously with "air superiority" is incredibly dangerous; especially if you look at other analysts such as Justin Bronk and Jack Watling who are very informed on the current state of air power, this idea that the air force will be doing CAS or supply route interdiction is absolutely laughable until they accomplish some SEAD/DEAD. Which against any half-decent adversary, let alone China, is going to take a great amount of time if its accomplished at all
A point that you raised from The Chieftain's video was this idea of passive measures; if you detect a UAV, immediately hide. Excuse me what? The idea that you have detected the UAV before it has detected you is laughable when artillery doctrine is Ukraine atm emphasizes digging in because shooting and scooting is too vulnerable due to movement. That's for equipment 10s of kilometres behind the line.
Not to mention other points raised in that Chieftain video that can be rejected out of hand like using the main gun as well as referencing UAV doctrine from the 90s, as though it's anywhere close to what it is now
Oh man! I'm a paid member and have been following you for quite a while, but you usually get your facts right and you missed it this time! You said you wanted a beer, and ordered Bud Lite. Do you REALLY think Bud Lite is beer??? Next time you're in the Tel Aviv area, look me up and I'll introduce you to some Israeli (and European) craft beers that will ruin Bud for you forever.
Some of us crave a “beer-like” experience w/ out the calories/carbs/higher alcohol content - a key aspect of your comment is that you’ve seemingly not learned an important “adulting lesson”, that being WALDT (we all like different things)… just saying 😆
I get your point but...it's Bud Lite. Just ick.
@RyanMcBeth Can I restrict what my monthly contribution is spent on?! jk. Drink what you like. When we meet we'll drink better beers!
And I get your point, as domestic (USofA) beers aren’t necessarily my forte….
I think there should be a "tongue in cheek" emoji. Of all the things Ryan talks about, some of them quite close to my heart, his choice of beer is quite likely not what I would think most important to comment on. His actual understanding of what's going on in Gaza, for example, is much appreciated.
In the absence of an emoji, consider this notification of tongue-in-cheekness. However the offer to buy Ryan a beer is for real.
And thus y’all get my “tongue-en cheek” response - no?
Don’t knock the man, he hasn’t been to Holland and doesn’t know Grolsch or Hertog Jan.
"Israeli (and European) craft beers that will ruin Bud for you forever"
Drinking the Lite should ruin you from the first glass. If not, you are beyond redemption. :>>
MY GOD MAN!! BUD LIGHT????
Bud....Light????? Cred shot...
Nooooooooooooooo!
I think you were setting it up beautifully, happy smiling ladies and then you had to start talking about drones.
Thanks. Sort of stretching the drone topic: multiple cruise missiles, AGM 158, dropped from cargo planes. Rapidly Dragon, I think.
Does US have enough such planes, given the demand for logistics?
Or enough missiles to address so much AA/AD weapons across the
S. China sea?
While I agree with you that we fight wars different, I think it's also wise to train to fight in contested airspace. The assumption of air superiority was always a smart one to make in the past but against the PLA? I'm not so sure.
Obviously I'm sure we'd gain air superiority eventually, but everywhere right from the get go? That's not as smart an assumption to make.
Plus, I think the added capability these drones offer and the speed with which they can provide those capabilities is not something that can be matched with traditional isr platforms.
I know you served in Iraq, but when I was in Afghanistan I would have given anything for some nerd with an fpv drone rig and a roof full of them.
Even when we had predators overhead there was a significant lag between what the operator (often in Langley) saw and reported and what we heard. Minutes sometimes. You know as well as I do that information is cold as a dead horse a couple minutes after the fact during a gunfight.
Ryan, can you talk about the use of chemical weapons by the Russians?
I’m getting there
Yes. Air superior
The thing that confused NATO, Ukraine and the U.S. was that, somehow, Ukraine could use “combined arms” tactics WITHOUT air superiority.
So that offense went very badly for Ukraine.
G'day Ryan, would love your take on drones in other theatres of operations outside what we are seeing in Ukraine? Like in more closed environments of the jungles of areas like South East Asia, urban environments and against a more mobile adversaries that use a less conventional tactics of hit run gorilla warfare type fighting along with an that's highly dispersed and lacks the concentration of forces that you see in Ukraine.
My take is that they'd be less effective especially in jungle environments due to the nature of the environment and in regards to gorilla warfare tactics because you're on the move constantly they can't get a good fix to be able to hit you and eliminate you as an opponent.
Cheers
Ryan, one of the premises that you based this video on was Ukraine has to use drones because of a lack of artillery ammunition. This can be easily tested by this question; does russia, who has an abundance of artillery ammunition and artillery overmatch also use drones? Or do they feel the urge to use them as much since going by the premise they shouldn't have to due to them not having artillery shortages like Ukraine
The answer is a resounding yes, they use them just as much and are always in a competitive arms race with Ukraine as to develop new drones and TTPs. So the idea that FPVs and drones are just for armies lacking artillery or firepower is bullshit.
This hand waving away of anything to learn seriously with "air superiority" is incredibly dangerous; especially if you look at other analysts such as Justin Bronk and Jack Watling who are very informed on the current state of air power, this idea that the air force will be doing CAS or supply route interdiction is absolutely laughable until they accomplish some SEAD/DEAD. Which against any half-decent adversary, let alone China, is going to take a great amount of time if its accomplished at all
Jack Watling, 54.40mins talking about the limits of assuming air superiority and Joint All Domain Operations
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wqh5ptMmsGc&t=2976s
A point that you raised from The Chieftain's video was this idea of passive measures; if you detect a UAV, immediately hide. Excuse me what? The idea that you have detected the UAV before it has detected you is laughable when artillery doctrine is Ukraine atm emphasizes digging in because shooting and scooting is too vulnerable due to movement. That's for equipment 10s of kilometres behind the line.
Not to mention other points raised in that Chieftain video that can be rejected out of hand like using the main gun as well as referencing UAV doctrine from the 90s, as though it's anywhere close to what it is now